Collin Miciunas
Main Street Wolf. Corporate finance, 10+ years. Investing
for 20+ years, trading options since 2015. Not a registered investment
adviser.
I make investing and options education as Main Street Wolf. I
built Restrike to track the option strategies I run with my own money,
because a spreadsheet stopped being enough.
Why this exists
I've been investing since high school, more than twenty years now.
Options came later: I got hooked in 2015 after finding tastytrade, and
spent a long time learning them before any of it was worth doing with
real size.
What I wanted was something on top of index investing that didn't mean
keeping up with thousands of individual stocks. Stock picking is a second
job, and I already have one. And as I've gotten older there's less time,
so the honest test for an approach is whether you can still do it when
the month gets busy.
Selling a monthly at-the-money put against an index fund I already owned
passed that test: one decision a month, one instrument, a rule for when
to close it.
Doing the maths by hand every month, correctly, while the
market moved, was exactly where discipline broke down.
So I built a tool for it. Then I started running other strategies beside
it, and the tool grew into what Restrike is now: every strategy tracked
and scored on its own.
Main Street Wolf
If you found this from a video, it's the same person. I publish investing
and options education as Main Street Wolf on
TikTok,
Instagram,
YouTube,
Facebook,
X and
Threads,
to more than 285,000 followers across them.
The videos and this site do the same job: explain how these instruments
actually work, including the parts that lose money. Neither tells anyone
what to buy. Restrike is my own product, not something I was paid
to mention.
The written version of what the videos cover is
Learn: a course in three levels, a page for each
common strategy, and two tools for finding the strategies that fit a
view.
What the research actually found
I didn't set out to build a case for selling puts every month. I started
with SPY and VIX data and a narrower question: when is the best time to
sell puts on an index ETF? The intuition most people share is to wait
for a volatility spike and sell into fear.
VIX spikes don't come often enough to build a strategy on. Waiting
for them meant sitting out most of the sample. And selling every month
still produced returns, even with VIX near the low end of its
range. The edge wasn't in picking the moment; it was in being there
every month, sized so the bad months didn't end it.
That's why the tool has no timing feature. The research found the same
thing from the other side: the rules it tested for timing a covered call
couldn't be told apart from luck. It would be easy to sell a signal. The
data didn't support one.
How I work on it
I keep running new tests and re-checking what I've already published,
and I'd rather change an answer than defend an old one. Figures on this
site are generated from the backtest wherever they can be, and an
automatic check fails if a number typed into a sentence disagrees with
the data behind it.
None of it is arranged to make the strategy look good. The drawdown sits
beside every return, the costs are stated as zero because that's what the
run assumed, and the covered call study found they lose to simply holding
the index.
If you find something here that doesn't add up, tell me. That's worth
more to me than a compliment.